Consider two contrasting strategies to deal with the latest mutation of US imperialism: we should protest Donald Trump and Trumpism at every opportunity as a way to contribute to the unity of the world’s oppressed people, and now more urgently link our intersectional struggles; or we should somehow take advantage of his presidency to promote the interests of the ‘left’ or the ‘Global South’ where there is overlap in weakening Washington’s grip (such as in questioning exploitative world trading regimes).

The latter position is now rare indeed, although before the election Hillary Clinton’s commitment to militaristic neoliberalism generated so much opposition that to some, the anticipated ‘paleo-conservatism’ of an isolationist-minded Trump appeared attractive. One international analyst of great reknown, Boris Kagarlitsky, makes this same argument this week largely because Trump is questioning pro-corporate ‘free trade’ deals. But the argument for selective cooperation with Trump was best articulated in Pambazuka as part of a series of otherwise compelling reflections by the Ugandan writer and former South Centre director Yash Tandon.

Tandon might re-examine the ‘space’ he can ‘seize’ with Trump, the ‘fraud’

Since more than any other individual Tandon helped make the 1999 Seattle and Cancun World Trade Organisation summits a profound disaster for world elites, I take him very seriously. (And yes, we’ve debated vigorously here before, e.g. the matter of South African and BRICS ‘sub-imperialism,’ a category he denies.)

In his most recent Pambazuka article, Tandon draws on the example of US democratic-socialist senator Bernie Sanders who – in the immediate aftermath of the shocking Trump ‘victory’ in last November’s presidential election – “promised to work with Trump provided he saves the social safety nets.” Tandon reports: “Can those of us who are in the Global South take a leaf out of Sanders’ book: seize the space provided by the change in the US Presidency?”

For the record, Sanders did indeed make such conciliatory sounds on November 9, purely on the grounds of Trump’s electoral posturing – his ‘anti-globalist’ populist rhetoric proved attractive to a portion of the white working class – but by February 5, Sanders knew enough about how Trump governs to offer the opposite view:

“This guy's a fraud. It is hard not to laugh to see President Trump sitting alongside these Wall Street guys. This guy ran for the President of the United States saying, 'I'm Donald Trump and I'm gonna take on Wall Street—these guys are getting away with murder...' But suddenly he appoints all these billionaires; his major financial adviser comes from Goldman Sachs; and now he's gonna dismantle legislation that protects consumers. This is a guy who ran for president saying, 'I'm the only Republican who's not going to cut Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid'—and then he appoints all of these guys who are precisely going to cut Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid... he's gonna sell out the middle class and the working class of this country."

Fraud extends beyond the befuddled sections of the US white working class whose support Trump won with promises to bring back jobs and fight Wall Street, to those who believed he would not be as prone to imperialist wars as Hillary Clinton. Squarely in this camp, Tandon makes the case that “we must distinguish between two very different species of nationalisms – one offensive and the other defensive.” The former includes classical fascist movements, and the latter includes “the anti-colonial struggle for liberation from the European Empire.”

Tandon acknowledges how ‘aggressive nationalism’ is imperialist and that “Its most virulent organisational expression is the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)… if Trump does act on his ideas to question NATO and to talk with Russia (on matters related to Europe and the Middle East), then we in the South (like Sanders) should cooperate with him.” This rests on Tandon’s quaint belief that “Trump is for peace and diplomatic resolution of international conflicts.”

Cooperate – with the world’s greatest-ever conman? No thanks, for not only did Trump do a U-turn on February 7, saying “We strongly support Nato,” he committed a site visit to Europe in May to prove that support.

Trump’s fraudulent extremea-imperialism is now evident. Within weeks of his ‘election,’ Trump had sworn in a Cabinet and top advisors consisting of maniacal generals, climate denialists, racists, billionaire super-exploiters and Goldman Sachs bankers. On January 27, Trump tried to ban desperate refugees and also 220 million Muslims from even transiting the US. He encouraged further Israeli attacks on Palestinians and 6000 new illegal West Bank settlement units, and last week approved a military raid on Yemen, killing 30 civilians, thus continuing Obama’s terror regime.

Now possessing nuclear weapons, he threatened to initiate war with China and Iran, and promised much higher US military spending (already $600 billion+ annually) – while the Pentagon’s Africa Command operates in 40 countries, allied with notorious dictators.

He authorised a mega-wall on Mexico’s border – and he claims he’ll stick the Mexicans with the bill, compelling its (right-wing) president to cancel a meeting – and he proposed military intervention in Mexico’s drug war. And he plans to reverse slowly-normalising Cuba relations and to end the nuclear deal with Iran (which were rare accomplishments by Obama), as well as to overthrow Venezuela’s democratic government, and to re-open torture centres in allied dictatorships.

Here’s where I hope Tandon considers his own U-turn, and then rallies a broader set of forces against Trump. Mistakenly in my view, Tandon defines the ‘Global South’ as “Asia, Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean.” Even slightly  nuanced class analysis would distinguish those like myself – sitting in a Wits University office in Johannesburg – as Global North, from those like the (mostly African-American) water activists in Detroit and Flint, Michigan, fighting the most elemental battles of their lives, for affordable, clean municipal water?

Surely they are in the Global South? If so, for years to come you will read about their travails and campaigns against Trump at Pambazuka, through articles by writers like Beverly Bell (on “fighting white power”) or Kali Akuno and Doug Norberg (on transcending NGOist reform tendencies). Or at Black Agenda Report, tune into Glenn Ford and Nellie Bailey reporting on white-nationalist supremacy resurgent. And let’s keep in mind, as Mike Davis does, that big chunks of the white working class that supported Trump are now in rapid heartbreak mode – perhaps ready to turn to another Sanders-type insurgency. And that process probably starts in the Democratic Party’s race this week for leadership, potentially moving quickly leftwards with the likely election of a progressive African-American Muslim, Keith Ellison.

Solidarity surely entails considering these allies ahead of the likes of Narendra Modi (the Trump-style extremist running India), Michel Temer (Brazil’s coup leader) or Vladimir Putin – whom Trump will probably attract into all sorts of sordid arrangements (e.g. in Syria and Eastern Europe), especially if Washington continues its warring ways. The wedge being driven by Trump into the heart of the BRICS is just one feature of the divide-and-conquer approach he will use when bullying the South.

Many US women just joined the Global South, too, as Trump has appointed a reactionary (Neil Gorsuch) as Supreme Court justice, mandating that he deny US women their hard-fought reproductive rights. He has put notorious privatiser Betsy DeVos and dogmatic Christian fundamentalist Jerry Falwell Jr in charge of public education. His reign began on January 20 by reversing reforms made by Obama in health insurance and revoked a R400 per month mortgage bond subsidy to working-class people. He has threatened to remove LGBTI rights and began rolling back consumer protection against predatory activities by corrupt banks. He promised to cut corporate taxes from 32% to below 20% and not prosecute illicit financial outflows.

We are all in the Global South in terms of the climate change Trump has catalysed, by re-activating oil pipelines (Keystone XL, Dakota Access) in spite of mass protest led by indigenous peoples. He appointed climate denialists to top environmental regulatory positions, so as to desecrate local, national and even global laws protecting nature and society from corporate pollution. And he has told endless lies, relentlessly cyber-bullied via Twitter, revealed psychotic-level narcissism, and, in sum, represented the highest-profile sexism, racism and xenophobia in recent world history.

Instead of cooperation, formidable opposition

Does it make sense to prepare for a global Boycott Divestment Sanctions (BDS) movement against Donald Trump, his leading cronies in the Cabinet, their companies and United States corporations more generally? If not immediately, there is a need to discuss this strategy very soon – so the arguments and nuances should be rehearsed regularly.

When it comes to raising the costs of Trump’s noxious politics internationally and preventing corporations from full cohesion to his program, the US oppressed still must take the lead. Evidence of this is already emerging, with mutual aid commitments like the new United Resistance movement linking dozens of campaigning groups and ‘sanctuary cities’ (hated by the far right) offer close-to-home “social self-defence,” as activist Jeremy Brecher remarks. There are already effective Trump boycotts seeking to delegitimise his political agenda and companies that support it.

And internationally, we can predict that when Secretary of State Rex Tillerson takes trips or Trump attends the Hamburg G20 in July, protesters will be out. Trump may well back out of the scheduled trip to Britain in June due to formidable opposition.

But from Africa, there are sound arguments to also play a catalytic role, mainly because the most serious threat to humanity and environment, aside from the return of first-strike nuclear fantasies, is Trump’s climate change denialism and new spikes in US greenhouse gas emissions from deregulated fossil fuels and filthy infrastructure. According to Mithika Mwenda, Secretary General of the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance (PACJA), “It is the people of the US who should make Trump retract his dangerously populist proclamation as he now is a leader of the most powerful nation.” But if that does not succeed, international solidarity will be needed to strengthen the US movements.

The rest of this article:

• reviews Trump’s threats to the climate;
• considers sanctions and how they might work against Trump and US megacorporations;
• reminds of the recent history of climate sanctions and carbon-tax advocacy;
• lists some Trump-related corporations to potentially target; and
• concludes with a hopeful precedent – anti-apartheid sanctions that allowed black South Africans and their allies to wedge global and local capital away from a fascist state.

First, what will it take to solve the climate crisis? There are technicist strategies to lower greenhouse gas emissions associated with energy, transport, agriculture and forestry, urbanisation, production, consumption and disposal. But the overwhelming change required will be to overcome what has been termed “inertia by political and social will.”

As climate change evidence gathers pace, so has awareness. By last November, the Yale University Program on Climate Change Communication poll of US registered voters found that 78% supported taxing or regulating emissions, and 69% agreed this should happen in an international agreement.

But last November in another poll, Trump was elected president. In four states – Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada – the margin required to reverse the result was a total of just 55,000 votes. Trump won the electoral college but lost the national popular vote by nearly three million votes. Supported by only 45 percent of those who voted (and 25.3% of the overall potential electorate), his popularity rating was just 37 percent a week before taking office and then fell to 32% on inauguration day; in 2009, Barack Obama had an 84% approval just as he entered the White House.

The huge protests – e.g. four million people worldwide on 21 January in solidarity with women critics of Trump – gave him no mandate for climate change denialism. Yet this is the new government’s ‘default position,’ says Trump’s chief of staff Reince Preibus.

The other areas in which we can anticipate Trump’s climate policies to quickly affect the world, according to his 100-day plan, are resurgent climate denialism; filthy-Keynesian infrastructure construction (fossil-fuel pipelines, airports, roads and bridges); cancellation of international obligations (e.g. withdrawing from the United Nations climate treaty and payment obligations to the Green Climate Fund); retraction of shale gas restrictions and the Keystone pipeline ban; destruction of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA); and a (futile) attempt to “save the coal industry.” After that, expect privatization of public land including Native reservations, in search of more oil.

His choices for the main climate-related Cabinet positions left no room for doubt: Tillerson as Secretary of State, Scott Pruitt as EPA Director, Rick Perry as Secretary of Energy and Ryan Zinke as Secretary of the Interior. Tillerson was not only a major contributor to climate policy inertia over several decades as an ExxonMobil leader. More recently his contract for a massive $500 billion Siberian oil drill earned him the Russian ‘Order of Friendship’ from Vladimir Putin in 2013. A year later, the deal was postponed due to sanctions that followed Putin’s 2014 invasion of the Crimea in the wake of the US-financed ($5 billion) overthrow of Ukraine’s pro-Russian leader. Even without Tillerson at the helm, ExxonMobil is anticipated to remain a very strong target for environmental boycotters.

But beyond specific firms, the challenge will be to address Trumpism’s malevolent power, all over the world. As much as any issue area, climate change offers that opportunity because the products of corporations in the US – more than in any other country – are tainted by the world’s highest historic emissions of greenhouse gases.

Before assessing Trump’s climate destruction, consider a thought experiment: had Clinton been elected president and under her rule had US corporations continued to pollute without any accountability or penalty (one of several fatal flaws in the Paris Agreement, a deal which climate scientist James Hansen defined as ‘bullshit!’) – then would the world have been in a position to react? The election’s silver lining may be more effective activism.

Simply put, Trump’s election gives the world impetus to belatedly develop a BDS strategy in a way that activists should have been doing since at least 1992, when President George HW Bush told the Rio Earth Summit “The American way of life is not up for negotiations.”

The climate case for BDS

Conceptual tools needed to boycott US exports on grounds of climate change have been around for years. Already in 2006, Nobel economic prize laureate Joseph Stiglitz argued, “unless the US goes along with the rest of the world, unless producers in America face the full cost of their emissions, Europe, Japan and all the countries of the world should impose trade sanctions against the US.” A technical policy term for such sanctions emerged: “border adjustment taxes” or for short, border measures which avoid World Trade Organisation anti-protectionist penalties (i.e., such taxes are not a “disguised trade restriction”).

By 2009, US President Barack Obama promoted carbon trading strategies within his ultimately-unsuccessful pro-market legislative strategy (to “privatize the air” by letting the rich pay to pollute), in order that big corporations would agree to emissions caps. Establishment economists like the Peterson Institute’s Gary Hufbauer and Jisun Kim observed that in such a context, US companies “paying to pollute” would need additional protection from outside competitors: “border measures seem all but certain for political reasons… many US climate bills introduced in the Congress have included border measures: they limit imports from countries that do not have comparable climate policies.”

Due to Republican Party climate denialism, the ‘cap-and-trade’ legislation failed in 2009-10, and although Obama gained allies for a new non-binding, market-friendly agreement at the Copenhagen UN summit in 2009, it was only in 2015 that the UN Paris Climate Agreement finally emerged as the first all-in deal.

But when last November, Trump’s victory squelched any prospect of Paris being implemented by his government – hence confirming the impossibility of the goal of lowering the temperature increase above pre-industrial times to 1.5 Centigrade degrees, all hope evaporated for the subsequent UN negotiations that had just begun in Marrakesh, Morocco. Widener Law School climate specialist Donald Brown reported: “I heard participants proclaim defiantly that they were going to ‘Trump Proof’ the world. They claimed they were going to go ahead with or without the United States. Several claimed that if the US pulled out of the Paris deal, they would pursue economic sanctions against the US.”

Climate justice advocate Naomi Klein reacted: “We need to start demanding economic sanctions in the face of this treaty-shedding lawlessness.” Representing French business, conservative ex-president Nicolas Sarkozy threatened, “I will demand that Europe put in place a carbon tax at its border, a tax of 1-3 percent, for all products coming from the US, if the US doesn’t apply environmental rules that we are imposing on our companies.” In a front page story, the New York Times quoted a leading Mexican official in Marrakesh: “A carbon tariff against the US is an option for us. We will apply any kind of policy necessary to defend the quality of life for our people, to protect our environment and to protect our industries,” a point echoed by a Canadian official.

Can Trump be badgered by corporate campaigns?

“Honey badger don’t give a shit!,” according to a slogan that has motivated Breitbart.com’s reckless ‘journalists’ since the time of the late maniacal founder Andrew Breitbart. Its subsequent leader Steve Bannon – now Trump senior political advisor and the man considered to be the ‘brains’ behind Trump’s most aggressive acts – appears to carry that gonzo style directly into the White House. (The phrase comes from a youtube video about a ‘crazy nastyass’ African animal unnerved by danger.)

Sometimes a thin-skinned Trump does indeed give a shit, most recently defending clothing retailer LL Bean against the #grabyourwallet boycott of scores of Trump-related firms. Setting aside the myriad personal pin-pricks from which journalists and politicians have drawn blood, what kinds of activist and legal attacks on Trump’s business have truly tripped him up and reversed his course? Decades worth of extreme real estate corruption, property gambles, debt defaults and full-fledged bankruptcies, refusals to pay suppliers and tax chiselling have reportedly attracted more than 4000 lawsuits.